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  3. Vol. 11, No. 2, May 2026 (Article in Progress)
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Vol. 11, No. 2, May 2026 (Article in Progress)

Issue Published : Apr 26, 2026
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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Analysis and Classification of Capital Assistance Recipients Kediri Trade and Industry Department Using Random Forest

https://doi.org/10.22219/kinetik.v11i2.2352
Arika Norma Wahyu Dorroty
Universitas Dian Nuswantoro
Ardiawan Bagus Harisa
Universitas Dian Nuswantoro

Corresponding Author(s) : Arika Norma Wahyu Dorroty

612202100037@mhs.dinus.ac.id

Kinetik: Game Technology, Information System, Computer Network, Computing, Electronics, and Control, Vol. 11, No. 2, May 2026 (Article in Progress)
Article Published : Apr 26, 2026

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Abstract

Capital assistance provided by the Kediri City Department of Trade and Industry often faces challenges related to the uncertainty of fund distribution, making it difficult to ensure the effectiveness of the assistance itself in improving business revenue. To address this, a prediction-based model is applied to evaluate the factors influencing the success of capital assistance in increasing recipients’ income. This study aims to classify recipients based on business revenue outcomes using the Random Forest algorithm. Furthermore, the model identifies key factors affecting the success of assistance and offers recommendations for optimizing future distribution through feature importance analysis. The results demonstrate that the Random Forest model achieves an accuracy of 75%, highlighting its potential as a reliable tool for predicting the success of capital assistance. The feature importance analysis further reveals that training contributes 49% and business type 43%, emphasizing their crucial role in enhancing the effectiveness of future assistance programs.

Keywords

Prediction Capital Assistance Random Forest Data Mining Classification
Dorroty, A. N. W., & Harisa, A. B. (2026). Analysis and Classification of Capital Assistance Recipients Kediri Trade and Industry Department Using Random Forest. Kinetik: Game Technology, Information System, Computer Network, Computing, Electronics, and Control, 11(2). https://doi.org/10.22219/kinetik.v11i2.2352
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References
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References


A. Sudjatmoko, M. Ichsan, M. Astriani, Mariani, and A. Clairine, “The Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on the Performance of Indonesian MSME with Innovation as Mediation,” Cogent Bus. Manag., vol. 10, no. 1, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2023.2179962

P. W. KEDIRI and N. 108 T. 2021, “PERWAL 108 SOTK DISPERDAGIN,” Jar. Dokumentasi dan Inf. Huk. Nas., vol. 1965, no. 0, pp. 1–23, 2021.

M. Book, “Bantuan Modal Usaha TH 2023,” 2023.

P. Studi, M. Feb, and U. N. P. Kediri, “Analisis Efektivitas Bantuan Modal dan Pelatihan Terhadap,” vol. 3, pp. 956–963, 2024.

Y. Kornitasari and D. N. A. M. Dewi, “Kinerja Usaha Mikro, Kecil Dan Menengah (UMKM) Pada Saat Covid-19 Di Jawa Timur,” Oikonomia J. Manaj., vol. 19, no. 1, pp. 29–46, 2023. https://doi.org/10.47313/oikonomia.v19i1.2053

R. Zalviana, A. N. Rahmadi, and D. B. Heryanto, “Pengaruh Bantuan Modal dan Pembinaan Pemerintah terhadap Pendapatan Usaha Mikro Kecil dan Menengah (UMKM) di Kecamatan Mojoroto Kota Kediri,” pp. 124–133.

Ardi Ramdani, Christian Dwi Sofyan, Fauzi Ramdani, Muhamad Fauzi Arya Tama, and Muhammad Angga Rachmatsyah, “Algoritma Klasifikasi Data Mining Untuk Memprediksi Masyarakat Dalam Menerima Bantuan Sosial,” J. Ilm. Sist. Inf., vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 39–47, 2022. https://doi.org/10.51903/juisi.v1i2.363

K. Husen, Dede Sandi, Dede Bumbungan, Sepriadi , Kusnawi, “Analisis Prediksi Kebakaran Hutan dengan Menggunakan Algoritma Random Forest Classifier,” Nuansa Inform., vol. 16, no. 1, pp. 150–155, 2022. https://doi.org/10.25134/nuansa.v16i1.5392

S. Rahayu and J. J. Purnama, “Klasifikasi Konsumsi Energi Industri Baja Menggunakan Teknik Data Mining,” J. Teknoinfo, vol. 16, no. 2, p. 395, 2022. https://doi.org/10.33365/jti.v16i2.1984

B. Rahman, F. Fauzi, and S. Amri, “Perbandingan Hasil Klasifikasi Data Iris menggunakan Algoritma K-Nearest Neighbor dan Random Forest,” J. Data Insights, vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 19–26, 2023. https://doi.org/10.26714/jodi.v1i1.135

J. Banjarnahor, C. J. Jones, E. M. Gulo, and A. C. S. Sianturi, “Analysis And Prediction Of Global Population Using Random Forest Regression,” J. Sist. Inf. dan Ilmu Komput., vol. 8, no. 1, pp. 280–299, 2024.

D. P. Sinambela, H. Naparin, M. Zulfadhilah, and N. Hidayah, “Implementasi Algoritma Decision Tree dan Random Forest dalam Prediksi Perdarahan Pascasalin,” J. Inf. dan Teknol., vol. 5, no. 3, pp. 58–64, 2023. https://doi.org/10.60083/jidt.v5i3.393

B. Prasojo and E. Haryatmi, “Analisa Prediksi Kelayakan Pemberian Kredit Pinjaman dengan Metode Random Forest,” J. Nas. Teknol. dan Sist. Inf., vol. 7, no. 2, pp. 79–89, 2021. https://doi.org/10.25077/teknosi.v7i2.2021.79-89

A. R. Fadillah and M. N. Fauzan, “Analisis Perbandingan Linear Regression dan Random Forest Regression untuk Prediksi Batas Kredit: Pendekatan Optimasi Hyperparameter,” J. Inform. Polinema, vol. 10, no. 4, pp. 543–550, 2024. https://doi.org/10.33795/jip.v10i4.5700

L. Ikhwanul Uzlah, R. Adi Saputra, and I. Isnawaty, “Deteksi Serangan Siber Pada Jaringan Komputer Menggunakan Metode Random Forest,” JATI (Jurnal Mhs. Tek. Inform., vol. 8, no. 3, pp. 2787–2793, 2024. https://doi.org/10.36040/jati.v8i3.8891

A. Fauzan and D. Ahmad, “Analisis Hasil Prediksi Magnitudo Gempa Di Wilayah Kota Padang Menggunakan Teknik Random Forest,” J. Lebesgue J. Ilm. Pendidik. Mat. Mat. dan Stat., vol. 4, no. 3, pp. 1569–1576, 2023. https://doi.org/10.46306/lb.v4i3.450

A. B. Raharjo, A. Ardianto, and D. Purwitasari, “Random Forest Regression Untuk Prediksi Produksi Daya Pembangkit Listrik Tenaga Surya,” Briliant J. Ris. dan Konseptual, vol. 7, no. 4, p. 1058, 2022. https://doi.org/10.28926/briliant.v7i4.1036

I. G. Rafael Agusto Prabawaseputraa, Ardiawan Bagus Harisaa, “2024 Board Game Café Analysed- Analysis on Sales and Games at Dhadhu Café using Multiple Linear Regression .pdf,” 2024.

B. Kriswantara and R. Sadikin, “Machine Learning Used Car Price Prediction with Random Forest Regressor Model,” J. Inf. Syst. Informatics Comput. Issue Period, vol. 6, no. 1, pp. 40–49, 2022. https://doi.org/10.52362/jisicom.v6i1.752

B. Wisnuadhi and I. Setiawan, “Rekomendasi Fitur Yang Mempengaruhi Harga Sewa Features Important That Affect Rental Prices Using Machine,” vol. 8, no. 4, pp. 673–682, 2021. https://doi.org/10.25126/jtiik.202183305

K. B. Simarmata, K. D. Hartomo, and K. D. Hartomo, “Analisa Rekomendasi Fitur Persetujuan Pinjaman Perusahaan Financial Technology Menggunakan Metode Random Forest,” JATISI (Jurnal Tek. Inform. dan Sist. Informasi), vol. 9, no. 3, pp. 2055–2070, 2022. https://doi.org/10.35957/jatisi.v9i3.2258

S. Kurniawan, W. Gata, D. A. Puspitawati, N. -, M. Tabrani, and K. Novel, “Perbandingan Metode Klasifikasi Analisis Sentimen Tokoh Politik Pada Komentar Media Berita Online,” J. RESTI (Rekayasa Sist. dan Teknol. Informasi), vol. 3, no. 2, pp. 176–183, 2019. https://doi.org/10.29207/resti.v3i2.935

A. Agung Nugraha and U. Budiyanto, “Adaptive E-Learning System Berbasis Vark Learning Style dengan Klasifikasi Materi Pembelajaran Menggunakan K-NN (K-Nearest Neighbor),” Technomedia J., vol. 7, no. 2, pp. 248–261, 2022. https://doi.org/10.33050/tmj.v7i2.1900

A. Arisusanto, N. Suarna, and G. Dwilestari, “Jurnal Teknologi Ilmu Komputer Analisa Klasifikasi Data Harga Handphone Menggunakan Jurnal Teknologi Ilmu Komputer,” J. Teknol. Ilmu Komput., vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 43–47, 2023. https://doi.org/10.56854/jtik.v1i2.51

P. H. Putra, A. Azanuddin, B. Purba, and Y. A. Dalimunthe, “Random forest and decision tree algorithms for car price prediction,” J. Mat. Dan Ilmu Pengetah. Alam LLDikti Wil. 1, vol. 4, no. 1, pp. 81–89, 2023. https://doi.org/10.54076/jumpa.v3i2.305

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